Lock ‘em in: final predictions before the Oscars!
Hello everybody! We’re just a few hours from Hollywood’s best and biggest award show.
Like I’ve said several times before, “if Christmas had sex with my birthday, the resulting baby would be Oscar day” and I really mean that! Despite the usual tantrums and disagreements, I enjoy Oscar day to the fullest and I don’t think that’s going to change anytime soon.
My friend Lily is coming over tomorrow to watch the telecast, which we’ll enjoy along with some beers and snacks! A (fake, of course) Oscar statuette I got in Hollywood will watch over the activities at the side of the TV.
Below, I share my final predictions for who’ll walk away with a little golden man this Sunday, as well as whom I think should walk away a worthy Academy Award winner.
Also, next week I’ll finally be posting my Top 10 of 2013 (yes, in March). I still haven’t seen all the films from last year I intended to, but as Oscar night marks the official end of the movie year, I can’t put it off any further.
Without further ado, here’s my forecast.
Will win: 12 Years a Slave
Possible upset: Gravity
Should win: 12 Years a Slave or Gravity
12 Years a Slave is the most historically and culturally relevant choice, while Gravity is closer to my heart and an incredibly exhilarating film experience. I’d be happy with either one taking the gold.
Will win: Alfonso Cuarón – Gravity
Possible upset: Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Alfonso Cuarón
Cuarón would be the first Mexican and first Latin director to take home the coveted prize. Gravity is Alfonso’s baby and his dedication to the film is evident.
Best Actor in a Leading Role
Will win: Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
Possible upset: Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street (or Ejiofor)
I have nothing against McConaughey’s performance in DBC, but I liked the work of Ejiofor and DiCaprio a whole lot more. Even if an Oscar for Leo wasn’t long overdue, he deserves it for his performance in Wolf. But yes, it’s so overdue.
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Will win: Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Possible upset: Amy Adams – American Hustle
Should win: Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Blanchett gave possibly the best acting performance of 2013 and she will walk out with her second Oscar tomorrow night. Best Actress is my favorite category this year, as I’m a huge fan of all the women nominated. Wouldn’t be too upset if Bullock or Streep took home the award, but that’s not going to happen.
Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Will win: Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Possible upset: Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Daniel Brühl – Rush or Jake Gyllenhaal – Prisoners (alas, neither was nominated)
By far the weakest acting category this year, it’s even sadder when the two performances I consider the strongest supporting turns of the year (Brühl and Gyllenhaal) aren’t even in the discussion. Leto was good in DBC (I love the guy) but his role is so tiny and the movie would’ve worked just the same without Rayon.
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Will win: Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave
Possible upset: Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle
Should win: Lupita Nyong’o or Sarah Paulson, also for 12YAS (but not nominated)
Despite some epic overacting in one scene, Nyongo’s performance in Slave is stunning and heart-wrenching. Lawrence in Hustle is solid, at least when she doesn’t seem terribly miscast and too young for the part. It’s almost offensive that Paulson’s searing turn didn’t even get noticed.
Will win: Emmanuel Lubezki – Gravity
Possible upset: Bruno Delbonnel – Inside Llewyn Davis
Should win: Emmanuel Lubezki – Gravity
Mexican cinematographer Lubezki has to win for his epic visuals in the space drama. Although, he supposedly had it in the bag for his contributions to The Tree of Life and still lost (I wanna cry just thinking about it).
Will win: “Let it Go” – Frozen
Possible upset: “Ordinary Love” – Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Should win: “Happy” – Despicable Me 2
Even though I didn’t watch Despicable Me 2, or the first one, nor do I intend to ever see either, Pharrell’s song is just an amazing, upbeat, unbelievably catchy tune that musically embodies the word “happy”.
Writing – Adapted Screenplay
Writing – Original Screenplay
Will win: Spike Jonze – Her
Possible upset: Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell – American Hustle or Alexander Payne – Nebraska
Should win: Woody Allen – Blue Jasmine or Alexander Payne – Nebraska