Lock ‘em in: final predictions before the Oscars!

Hello everybody! We’re just a few hours from Hollywood’s best and biggest award show.

Like I’ve said several times before, “if Christmas had sex with my birthday, the resulting baby would be Oscar day” and I really mean that! Despite the usual tantrums and disagreements, I enjoy Oscar day to the fullest and I don’t think that’s going to change anytime soon.

My friend Lily is coming over tomorrow to watch the telecast, which we’ll enjoy along with some beers and snacks! A (fake, of course) Oscar statuette I got in Hollywood will watch over the activities at the side of the TV.

Below, I share my final predictions for who’ll walk away with a little golden man this Sunday, as well as whom I think should walk away a worthy Academy Award winner.

Also, next week I’ll finally be posting my Top 10 of 2013 (yes, in March). I still haven’t seen all the films from last year I intended to, but as Oscar night marks the official end of the movie year, I can’t put it off any further.

Without further ado, here’s my forecast.

Best Picture

TWELVE YEARS A SLAVE

Will win: 12 Years a Slave
Possible upset: Gravity
Should win: 12 Years a Slave or Gravity
12 Years a Slave is the most historically and culturally relevant choice, while Gravity is closer to my heart and an incredibly exhilarating film experience. I’d be happy with either one taking the gold.

Best Director

gravity-alfonso-cuaron-george-clooney-sandra-bullock-set

Will win: Alfonso Cuarón – Gravity
Possible upset: Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Alfonso Cuarón
Cuarón would be the first Mexican and first Latin director to take home the coveted prize. Gravity is Alfonso’s baby and his dedication to the film is evident.

Best Actor in a Leading Role

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Will win: Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
Possible upset: Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street (or Ejiofor)
I have nothing against McConaughey’s performance in DBC, but I liked the work of Ejiofor and DiCaprio a whole lot more. Even if an Oscar for Leo wasn’t long overdue, he deserves it for his performance in Wolf. But yes, it’s so overdue.

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Cate Blanchett in Woody Allen's Blue Jasmine

Will win: Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Possible upset: Amy Adams – American Hustle
Should win: Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Blanchett gave possibly the best acting performance of 2013 and she will walk out with her second Oscar tomorrow night. Best Actress is my favorite category this year, as I’m a huge fan of all the women nominated. Wouldn’t be too upset if Bullock or Streep took home the award, but that’s not going to happen.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

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Will win: Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Possible upset: Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Should win: Daniel Brühl – Rush or Jake Gyllenhaal – Prisoners (alas, neither was nominated)
By far the weakest acting category this year, it’s even sadder when the two performances I consider the strongest supporting turns of the year (Brühl and Gyllenhaal) aren’t even in the discussion. Leto was good in DBC (I love the guy) but his role is so tiny and the movie would’ve worked just the same without Rayon.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

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Will win: Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave
Possible upset:  Jennifer LawrenceAmerican Hustle
Should win: Lupita Nyong’o or Sarah Paulson, also for 12YAS (but not nominated)
Despite some epic overacting in one scene, Nyongo’s performance in Slave is stunning and heart-wrenching. Lawrence in Hustle is solid, at least when she doesn’t seem terribly miscast and too young for the part. It’s almost offensive that Paulson’s searing turn didn’t even get noticed.

Cinematography

Gravity

Will win: Emmanuel Lubezki – Gravity
Possible upset: Bruno Delbonnel – Inside Llewyn Davis
Should win:  Emmanuel Lubezki – Gravity
Mexican cinematographer Lubezki has to win for his epic visuals in the space drama. Although, he supposedly had it in the bag for his contributions to The Tree of Life and still lost (I wanna cry just thinking about it).

Costume Design

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Will win: Catherine Martin – The Great Gatsby
Possible upset: Michael Wilkinson – American Hustle
Should win:  Catherine Martin – The Great Gatsby
Just look at this suit.

Original Score

Philomena
Will win: Steven Price – Gravity
Possible upset: Alexandre Desplat – Philomena
Should win:  Alexandre Desplat – Philomena

Original Song

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Will win: “Let it Go” – Frozen
Possible upset: “Ordinary Love” – Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Should win:  “Happy” – Despicable Me 2
Even though I didn’t watch Despicable Me 2, or the first one, nor do I intend to ever see either, Pharrell’s song is just an amazing, upbeat, unbelievably catchy tune that musically embodies the word “happy”.

Production Design

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Will win: Catherine Martin and Beverley Dunn – The Great Gatsby
Possible upset: K.K. Barrett  and Gene Serdena – Her
Should win: Catherine Martin and Beverley Dunn – The Great Gatsby
I MEAN!

Visual Effects

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Will win: Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, David Shirk and Neil Corbould – Gravity
Possible upset: There’s no way
Should win:  Tim Webber, Chris Lawrence, David Shirk and Neil Corbould – Gravity

Writing – Adapted Screenplay

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Will win: John Ridley – 12 Years a Slave
Possible upset: Terence Winter – The Wolf of Wall Street
Should win: Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope – Philomena

Writing – Original Screenplay

www.indiewire.com

Will win: Spike Jonze – Her
Possible upset: Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell – American Hustle or Alexander Payne – Nebraska
Should win:  Woody Allen – Blue Jasmine or Alexander Payne – Nebraska

What do you think of my predictions? Agree or disagree? What are your plans for tomorrow? What are you looking forward to the most?

Please share in the comments section.

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